Chris Anderson's
Long Tail analysis addresses some interesting points that I have been aware of but have never really thought about. Just like all those times (i.e. all day, every day) I've been subjected to someone else's marketing tactics, I had not noticed exactly what these innovators have come up with this time. But I have to admit, it's ingenius.
I can relate personally to the
Amazon example of the company suggesting books and other items related to what you search for or add to your wish list. My own Wish List is probably about 50% made up of items Amazon itself suggested for me. I now realize that I, too, have been the victim of the Long Tail phenomenon. At least that's how I've always looked at it; people are the victims of these mass marketing ploys to get us all to spend more and more! I always hated it when people asked me my zip code before we could complete a transaction. I felt it was my duty to keep them from keeping tabs on what this girl from 66208 was buying. I couldn't see that any good could come from having that information.
Alas, the Long Tail seems to have a much more well-intentioned end in mind. For that reason, I now consider myself the beneficiary of these newest marketing tactics. As a consumer I crave products and services that fit my needs. Who knew that someone else was determining my needs for me? Now I understand that so much more than I thought was at my disposal.
The mention of
iTunes in the piece reminded me of all those times I've searched for a song and been surprised by the many covers of the same song. While covers aren't generally as well received as, say, similar music by a different artist, they still fall into that Long Tail category, making them fair game for potential profitability.
Anderson suggests video "Game publishers could release every title as a 99-cent download three years after its release - no support, no guarantees, no packaging." Based on today's teenage interest in 80s pop culture iconic game of
Pacman I saw recently, redistributing the game so that people could still play it with the almost obsolete (right?) joystick could revve enthusiasm back up.
But getting back to the topic at hand, if we take a look at
Netflix, we see an enormously successful internet business with no brick and mortar retail locations. Its
business model is successful because its niche IS the Long Tail, with thousands of documentary titles and other special films from which to choose. In addition to having hit movies available for rental, it also has thousands of other lesser-known titles that movie buffs, professors, and curious people alike can find based on their particular desires. Although Netflix's net income was
less than in past years in 2006, it is still growing at a solid rate and keeping at least side by side with major competitor Blockbuster. The company, as all good companies do, continues to look for new and creative ways to stay ahead of its competitors and always considers its inventory.
If we look at the snippet below from
Seeking Alpha's web site, we see how this niche creates the lucrative business it does for Netflix. The company has learned how to develop a successful product that is more focused on creating interest in the lesser-known films and documentaries.
THE LONG TAIL
We believe a key driver behind NFLX’s success rests on its ability to create demand for lesser-known and older movies (i.e. moving subscribers “down the tail"?). These titles: 1) are cheaper to acquire,2) improve wait times,3) provide more depth to the service, and4) help restrain demand for blockbuster new releases.
These benefits should improve overall profitability and attrition rates. Considering the high cost of acquiring new subscribers, the ability to reduce churn has meaningful impact on earnings.
WHAT IS THE LONG TAIL AND ITS EFFECT?
The Long Tail refers to the end of a one-sided bell curve that measures title depth on one axis and title demand on another axis. The “hill"? represents the few number of blockbuster titles that are in high demand while the long tail represent the large number of “catalog"? titles that are abundant but have limited demand. Typically, most entertainment providers have focused on the “Large Hill"? given this is where the bulk of demand is located. However, the power of the internet, the minimal costs of storing titles, improving distribution capabilities, lower acquisition costs, and analytical software allows for the depth of catalog content to compensate for the lack of demand. Furthermore, these improvements have also allowed the bell curve to flatten out (i.e., more title can not be cost effectively sold). We see NFLX as utilizing the long tail as a competitive advantage that should help generate additional operating leverage. This theory of "The Long Tail" is not agreed upon across the board, however. Wall Street Journal's Lee Gomes disagrees with Anderson's claim that there is a rapid and certain change in people's power to broaden their horizons through the "long tail". Still, I'm sold. I think we've seen only the beginning...